Kyiv’s acquisition of battle-tested Turkish drones is a particular worry for Russian-backed separatist fighters in eastern Ukraine and for the Kremlin.īut analysts think success in averting a Russian invasion could highlight Turkey’s importance to the Western defence alliance and warm Erdogan’s chilly relations with US President Joe Biden. It could also force Ankara to pick sides between Putin - a leader who holds several economic and military trump cards over Turkey - and traditional Western allies that have grown impatient with Erdogan’s rule. His high-profile efforts - met with caution in Moscow - carry huge stakes and potentially rich rewards.Īnalysts believe a serious conflict in Ukraine could upend Turkey’s economy and imperil Erdogan’s chances of extending his rule into a third decade in elections due by mid-2023. ![]() ![]() The veteran Turkish leader hopes mediation between Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky can avert a Russian offensive that Washington warns could start by mid-February.
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